Market briefs · Mass Tort Ad Agency
Social media addiction: what a signed case costs, and where the docket stands
Defendants have settled out of every bellwether they could. Filings keep climbing. Here is what claimant acquisition actually costs this week, measured from live campaign delivery, and what a firm entering now is buying into.
Figures computed Jul 23, 2026 08:02 UTC · Brief reviewed Jul 23, 2026 · MDL 3047 (N.D. Cal.) · JCCP 5255 (LA Superior)
01The read
Four defendants have now paid rather than let a jury see the full evidentiary record twice. Snap and TikTok settled out of the first state bellwether days before opening statements. The first federal bellwether — a Kentucky school district — never seated a jury at all, because all four defendants settled, reportedly for around $27M combined. In the second state bellwether, YouTube, TikTok and Snap have each settled out, leaving Meta to face the jury alone.
The one time a jury did reach a verdict, it found for the plaintiff and added punitive damages. That is the entire public evidentiary record on how this theory plays to a jury: one for one.
For a firm evaluating entry, the practical signal is that defendants are treating jury exposure as expensive, and there is still no global settlement framework to price inventory against. Both of those things are true at once, and the second one is the reason this brief has a risk section.
02Acquisition economics
Computed from live Meta campaign delivery across MTAA-managed accounts. Figures refresh daily and will not match what you read here in a month.
| Track | CPL 30d | CPL 7d | CPSC 30d | Campaigns |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platform track Meta (Instagram/Facebook), TikTok, Snapchat, YouTube — MDL 3047 / JCCP 5255 |
$60.51 | $61.39 | $433.38 | 2 |
| Roblox track Roblox — separate filings, earlier stage, no MDL number assigned |
$117.42 | $120.17 | No signed data | 1 |
Read the 30-day column, not the 7-day. Signed-case attribution lags lead delivery by two to four weeks, so any short window mixes this week's spend with earlier weeks' signings and reports a cost per signed case that is too favorable.
The platform track is the mature buy: cost per lead is stable across both windows, and it has enough signed-case history to compute a real cost per signed case. The Roblox track currently acquires leads at roughly twice the cost with no signing history behind it yet. That is normal for an earlier-stage filing posture, but it means the second track is an unpriced bet and should carry its own budget line rather than being blended into the first.
03Docket scoreboard
| Date | Defendant / party | Disposition | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2022 | Meta, ByteDance, Snap, Google | Consolidated before Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers JPML transfer order. Discovery before Judge Peter H. Kang. |
— |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Snap | Settled pre-trial, confidential No admission of liability. |
Undisclosed |
| Jan 27, 2026 | TikTok / ByteDance | Settled pre-trial, confidential Settled as jury selection began. |
Undisclosed |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Meta, Google | Plaintiff verdict Liability allocated 70% Meta / 30% Google. First jury verdict in the litigation. |
$6.0M total, incl. $3M punitive |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Meta, Google | Post-trial defense motions denied Verdict stands at trial level; appeal pending. |
— |
| May 15, 2026 | Snap, TikTok, YouTube | Settled pre-trial First school-district bellwether. Amount reported, not court-confirmed. |
Part of ~$27M combined |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Meta | Settled on eve of trialReported Scheduled first federal bellwether. No jury was ever seated. |
~$27M combined (reported) |
| Jun 23, 2026 | YouTube / Google | Settled pre-trial | Undisclosed |
| Jun 30, 2026 | TikTok / ByteDance | Settled pre-trial | Undisclosed |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Snap | Tentative settlementReported Reported tentative; confirm against docket before relying on it. |
Undisclosed |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Meta | Trial scheduled — Meta sole remaining defendantScheduled Second jury test of the core liability theory. |
— |
04Filing velocity
Pending actions in MDL 3047, from JPML reports. The trajectory matters more than any single reading: this has been one of the fastest-growing dockets in the federal system through 2026, and growth accelerated after the March verdict.
| As of | Pending actions | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2,407 | JPML pending-actions report |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 2,465 | JPML pending-actions report |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 2,664 | JPML pending-actions report |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 2,893 | JPML pending-actions report |
05Qualification standard
What MTAA screens for before a lead is delivered as a qualified claimant:
- Claimant was under 18 during the period of heavy platform use.
- A documented mental health diagnosis — the recognized profile includes depression, anxiety, eating disorders, and self-harm.
- Treatment history with dates, sufficient to connect the diagnosis to the usage period.
- Identifiable platform and usage pattern, not a general claim of screen time.
- No prior representation on the same claim.
This is a records-heavy qualification compared with a device or pharmaceutical tort, where a product name and an implant date carry most of the burden. It is the main driver of the lead-to-signed ratio, and a firm that plans intake capacity on device-tort assumptions will under-resource this one.
Running alongside the individual personal-injury cases are roughly 1,200 school-district actions and attorney general suits from more than 40 states. Those resolve on their own track and do not establish per-plaintiff value, but they do shape the defendants' total exposure and therefore their appetite to settle.
06Risks
No established case value
One verdict, on appeal, and a set of confidential settlements. There is no range to underwrite against. A firm entering now is spending known dollars per signed case against an unknown recovery.
The verdict is not final money
The $6.0M K.G.M. award survived post-trial motions at the trial level and is on appeal. Treat it as evidence about how juries respond to the theory, not as a settled valuation input.
Long carry
Minority tolling keeps the claimant pool open, which is good for volume and bad for cash flow. Cases signed today may sit for years. This tort suits a firm that can fund a long hold, and it punishes one that cannot.
Platform risk on the buy side
The most efficient acquisition channel for this tort is Meta, and Meta is a defendant in it. Ad policy enforcement is a live operational risk, and creative that would clear review in another tort will not necessarily clear it here. Campaigns have to be built to a stricter standard from the start, not corrected after a rejection.
Subject-matter sensitivity
The claimant population includes minors in active mental health crisis, and the ad surface reaches them as well as their parents. MTAA builds these campaigns to address parents and households rather than to describe symptoms back to a viewer. That is partly a policy requirement and partly the right way to run it.
07Questions firms ask
- What does a signed social media addiction case cost to acquire right now?
- On the platform track (MDL 3047 / JCCP 5255), MTAA-managed Meta campaigns are producing leads and signed cases at the costs shown above, measured over a trailing 30-day window. Both figures are computed from live campaign data and change weekly. The seven-day figures move faster and are less reliable, because signed-case attribution lags lead delivery — a case signed this week may have been generated three weeks ago.
- Is it too late to enter this tort?
- Filings are still climbing, and the statute of limitations for minors is tolled in most states until the claimant turns 18, which keeps the eligible population open far longer than a typical product tort. The relevant risk is not the door closing; it is that no global settlement framework exists yet, so a firm entering now carries acquisition cost against an unresolved case value.
- Is there an established settlement value per case?
- No. The only verified figures are the $6.0M K.G.M. state-court jury verdict from March 25, 2026, which is on appeal, and the reported combined settlement of roughly $27M in the Breathitt County school-district bellwether. Neither establishes a per-plaintiff range for individual personal-injury claims. Any specific per-case dollar estimate for this litigation is speculative, and MTAA does not publish one.
- What qualifies a claimant?
- The core profile is a claimant who was a minor during heavy use of one or more named platforms and who has a documented mental health diagnosis and treatment history connected to that period. Qualification is records-driven: diagnosis, treatment dates, and evidence of usage pattern. This is a heavier intake burden than a typical device tort, and it is the main reason lead-to-signed conversion sits where it does rather than higher.
- What is the difference between the platform track and the Roblox track?
- The platform track covers Meta, TikTok, Snapchat, and YouTube and is consolidated in MDL 3047 with a parallel California state coordination. The Roblox filings are separate, earlier in their lifecycle, carry no MDL number, and currently acquire at a materially higher cost per lead with no signed-case history yet. They are two different bets, and they should be budgeted separately.
- How many cases are pending?
- Pending federal actions in MDL 3047 and the trailing monthly growth rate are shown above, computed from JPML pending-action reports. Alongside the individual personal-injury cases, roughly 1,200 school-district actions and attorney general suits from more than 40 states are proceeding on a separate track.
MTAA builds and operates the Meta acquisition campaigns behind these numbers. If you are evaluating entry, the useful next step is a look at current inventory and delivery capacity in your states — start there. Acquisition cost across every tort we benchmark is on the brief index.